Harold Howard vs Matheus Scheffel
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
1-3-0Record17-11-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
TBDReachTBD
240 lbsWeight262 lbs
TBDTeamCM System
What's at stake
Matheus Scheffel is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Harold Howard carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+29→ 1475
If they lose-19→ 1427
If they win+9→ 1530
If they lose-15→ 1506
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1502 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1611 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Harold HowardMatheus Scheffel
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Matheus Scheffel62%
Harold Howard 38%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Matheus Scheffel a 62% favorite over Harold Howard in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Matheus Scheffel holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1521 to 1446, a 75-point edge.
Harold Howard enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Matheus Scheffel enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Matheus Scheffel 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.