Combat Edge Intelligence

Hayato Sakurai vs Jingliang Li

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

38-13-2Record19-9-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'7"Height6'0"
TBDReach71"
168 lbsWeight170 lbs
Mach DojoTeamChina Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Hayato SakuraiNow 1701
If they win+12→ 1713
If they lose-12→ 1689
Jingliang LiNow 1704
If they win+12→ 1716
If they lose-12→ 1692

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1624 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1706 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.28
Sig. strikes / min
4.46
42%
Strike accuracy
42%
25.03
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.95
59%
Strike defense
57%
0
Takedown avg.
1.19
TBD
Takedown accuracy
42%
57%
Takedown defense
60%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Hayato SakuraiJingliang Li
1700175020172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

12 (32%)
KO/TKO
10 (53%)
10 (26%)
Submission
4 (21%)
16 (42%)
Decision
5 (26%)

Combat Edge model read

Jingliang Li61%
Hayato Sakurai 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jingliang Li a 61% favorite over Hayato Sakurai in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1701 vs 1704), separated by just 3 points.

Jingliang Li enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Hayato Sakurai finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Jingliang Li 74%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.