Combat Edge Intelligence

Hazem Kayyali vs James Head

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

3-0-2Record9-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height6'2"
-ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
TBDTeamR-1 MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Hazem KayyaliNow 1606
If they win+24→ 1630
If they lose-24→ 1582
James HeadNow 1603
If they win+16→ 1619
If they lose-16→ 1587

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1537 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1631 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.75
TBD
Strike accuracy
49%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.11
TBD
Strike defense
50%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.41
TBD
Takedown accuracy
100%
TBD
Takedown defense
67%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.82

Trajectory

Hazem KayyaliJames Head
155016001650201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (33%)
KO/TKO
4 (44%)
1 (33%)
Submission
3 (33%)
1 (33%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Hazem Kayyali79%
James Head 21%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Hazem Kayyali a 79% favorite over James Head in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1606 vs 1603), separated by just 3 points.

Hazem Kayyali enters on a 3-fight win streak.

James Head enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Hazem Kayyali finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, James Head 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.