Combat Edge Intelligence

Hazem Kayyali vs John Howard

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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John Howard
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John Howard

“Doomsday”

29-19-1WelterweightXMMA

1607Solid

Tale of the tape

3-0-2Record29-19-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height5'7"
-Reach40,0"
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
TBDTeamWai Kru MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Hazem KayyaliNow 1606
If they win+24→ 1630
If they lose-24→ 1582
John HowardNow 1607
If they win+12→ 1619
If they lose-12→ 1595

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1537 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1601 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.15
TBD
Strike accuracy
51%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.08
TBD
Strike defense
51%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.70
TBD
Takedown accuracy
49%
TBD
Takedown defense
54%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.44

Trajectory

Hazem KayyaliJohn Howard
1550160016502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (33%)
KO/TKO
10 (34%)
1 (33%)
Submission
7 (24%)
1 (33%)
Decision
12 (41%)

Combat Edge model read

Hazem Kayyali79%
John Howard 21%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Hazem Kayyali a 79% favorite over John Howard in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans John Howard's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1606 vs 1607), separated by just 1 points.

Hazem Kayyali enters on a 3-fight win streak.

John Howard enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Hazem Kayyali finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, John Howard 59%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.