Combat Edge Intelligence

Hazem Kayyali vs Jonathan Goulet

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

2-0-2Record23-12-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height6'0"
-ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight169 lbs
TBDTeamTeam Legion

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Hazem KayyaliNow 1552
If they win+24→ 1576
If they lose-24→ 1528
Jonathan GouletNow 1553
If they win+12→ 1565
If they lose-12→ 1541

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1501 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1574 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.61
TBD
Strike accuracy
42%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2
TBD
Strike defense
46%
TBD
Takedown avg.
4.17
TBD
Takedown accuracy
70%
TBD
Takedown defense
45%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.60

Trajectory

Hazem KayyaliJonathan Goulet
155016002008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (50%)
KO/TKO
12 (52%)
1 (50%)
Submission
8 (35%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Hazem Kayyali60%
Jonathan Goulet 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Hazem Kayyali a 60% favorite over Jonathan Goulet in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jonathan Goulet's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1552 vs 1553), separated by just 1 points.

Jonathan Goulet 87%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.