Combat Edge Intelligence

Hazem Kayyali vs Luke Stewart

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

2-0-2Record6-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height5'11"
-ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
TBDTeamRalph Gracie Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Hazem KayyaliNow 1552
If they win+24→ 1576
If they lose-24→ 1528
Luke StewartNow 1556
If they win+24→ 1580
If they lose-24→ 1532

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1501 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1516 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Hazem KayyaliLuke Stewart
155016002008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (50%)
KO/TKO
3 (50%)
1 (50%)
Submission
3 (50%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Hazem Kayyali51%
Luke Stewart 49%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Hazem Kayyali a 51% favorite over Luke Stewart in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Luke Stewart's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1552 vs 1556), separated by just 4 points.

Luke Stewart enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Luke Stewart 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.