Combat Edge Intelligence

Hazem Kayyali vs Ricardo Almeida

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

3-0-2Record13-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height5'11"
-ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
TBDTeamRenzo Gracie Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Hazem KayyaliNow 1606
If they win+24→ 1630
If they lose-24→ 1582
Ricardo AlmeidaNow 1603
If they win+16→ 1619
If they lose-16→ 1587

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1537 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1647 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.02
TBD
Strike accuracy
49%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.20
TBD
Strike defense
61%
TBD
Takedown avg.
3.74
TBD
Takedown accuracy
38%
TBD
Takedown defense
31%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.21

Trajectory

Hazem KayyaliRicardo Almeida
15501600200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (33%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
1 (33%)
Submission
5 (38%)
1 (33%)
Decision
8 (62%)

Combat Edge model read

Hazem Kayyali79%
Ricardo Almeida 21%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Hazem Kayyali a 79% favorite over Ricardo Almeida in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1606 vs 1603), separated by just 3 points.

Hazem Kayyali enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Hazem Kayyali finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Ricardo Almeida 38%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.