Combat Edge Intelligence

Hazem Kayyali vs Seth Baczynski

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Seth Baczynski
us

Seth Baczynski

“The Polish Pistola”

21-16-0MiddleweightNWFA

1554Solid

Tale of the tape

2-0-2Record21-16-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'3"
-ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
TBDTeamPower MMA Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Hazem KayyaliNow 1552
If they win+24→ 1576
If they lose-24→ 1528
Seth BaczynskiNow 1554
If they win+12→ 1566
If they lose-12→ 1542

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1501 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1555 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.08
TBD
Strike accuracy
32%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.14
TBD
Strike defense
51%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.89
TBD
Takedown accuracy
17%
TBD
Takedown defense
48%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.75

Trajectory

Hazem KayyaliSeth Baczynski
1550160020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (50%)
KO/TKO
8 (38%)
1 (50%)
Submission
11 (52%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (10%)

Combat Edge model read

Hazem Kayyali60%
Seth Baczynski 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Hazem Kayyali a 60% favorite over Seth Baczynski in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Seth Baczynski's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1552 vs 1554), separated by just 2 points.

Seth Baczynski enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Seth Baczynski 90%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.