Combat Edge Intelligence

Hector Lombard vs Ray Cooper III

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

34-11-1Record25-10-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height5'9"
71.00Reach70"
185 lbsWeight182 lbs
UFD GymTeamLion of Judah

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Hector LombardNow 1704
If they win+12→ 1716
If they lose-12→ 1692
Ray Cooper IIINow 1704
If they win+12→ 1716
If they lose-12→ 1692

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1703 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1703 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.02
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
46%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.35
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
53%
Strike defense
TBD
1.69
Takedown avg.
TBD
49%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
77%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.47
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Hector LombardRay Cooper III
17001750180020172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

22 (65%)
KO/TKO
16 (64%)
4 (12%)
Submission
7 (28%)
8 (24%)
Decision
2 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Ray Cooper III60%
Hector Lombard 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ray Cooper III a 60% favorite over Hector Lombard in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Hector Lombard's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1704 vs 1704), separated by just 0 points.

Hector Lombard enters on a 6-fight loss streak.

Ray Cooper III enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Hector Lombard finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Ray Cooper III 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.