Herman Terrado vs Nick Pica
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-7-1Record5-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height5'10"
69"ReachTBD
179 lbsWeight185 lbs
Undisputed DowntownTeamTeam Black
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1605
If they lose-16→ 1573
If they win+24→ 1610
If they lose-24→ 1562
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1588 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Herman TerradoNick Pica
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nick Pica60%
Herman Terrado 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Nick Pica a 60% favorite over Herman Terrado in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Herman Terrado's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1589 vs 1586), separated by just 3 points.
Herman Terrado enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Herman Terrado finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Nick Pica 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.