Combat Edge Intelligence

Hidehiko Yoshida vs Karl Williams

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-8-1Record10-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'11"Height6'3"
TBDReach79"
225 lbsWeight247 lbs
Yoshida DojoTeamAmerican Top Team Atlanta

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Hidehiko YoshidaNow 1594
If they win+16→ 1610
If they lose-16→ 1578
Karl WilliamsNow 1594
If they win+16→ 1610
If they lose-16→ 1578

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1607 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1603 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.68
TBD
Strike accuracy
49%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.15
TBD
Strike defense
56%
TBD
Takedown avg.
4.20
TBD
Takedown accuracy
49%
TBD
Takedown defense
100%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.20

Trajectory

Hidehiko YoshidaKarl Williams
160016501700200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
3 (30%)
8 (89%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (11%)
Decision
7 (70%)

Combat Edge model read

Karl Williams57%
Hidehiko Yoshida 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Karl Williams a 57% favorite over Hidehiko Yoshida in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Hidehiko Yoshida's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1594 vs 1594), separated by just 0 points.

Karl Williams enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Hidehiko Yoshida finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Karl Williams 30%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.