Combat Edge Intelligence

Hojat Khajevand vs Ryan Loder

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ryan Loder
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Ryan Loder

“The Man of Steel”

7-3-0MiddleweightUFC

1590Solid

Tale of the tape

10-6-0Record7-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'2"
-Reach76"
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
Fightclub FreiburgTeamApex Wrestling Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Hojat KhajevandNow 1587
If they win+16→ 1603
If they lose-16→ 1571
Ryan LoderNow 1590
If they win+16→ 1606
If they lose-16→ 1574

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1574 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
5.76
TBD
Strike accuracy
71%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.51
TBD
Strike defense
50%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.57
TBD
Takedown accuracy
14%
TBD
Takedown defense
100%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.57

Trajectory

Hojat KhajevandRyan Loder
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (30%)
KO/TKO
5 (71%)
4 (40%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (30%)
Decision
2 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Hojat Khajevand59%
Ryan Loder 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Hojat Khajevand a 59% favorite over Ryan Loder in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ryan Loder's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1587 vs 1590), separated by just 3 points.

Hojat Khajevand enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ryan Loder enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Hojat Khajevand finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Loder 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.