Combat Edge Intelligence

Hojat Khajevand vs Tafon Nchukwi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

10-6-0Record7-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'0"
-Reach77"
186 lbsWeight190 lbs
Fightclub FreiburgTeamTeam Lloyd Irvin

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Hojat KhajevandNow 1587
If they win+16→ 1603
If they lose-16→ 1571
Tafon NchukwiNow 1588
If they win+16→ 1604
If they lose-16→ 1572

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1574 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1619 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
5.57
TBD
Strike accuracy
53%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.11
TBD
Strike defense
54%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.76
TBD
Takedown accuracy
57%
TBD
Takedown defense
65%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Hojat KhajevandTafon Nchukwi
15501600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (30%)
KO/TKO
4 (57%)
4 (40%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (30%)
Decision
3 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Hojat Khajevand63%
Tafon Nchukwi 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Hojat Khajevand a 63% favorite over Tafon Nchukwi in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tafon Nchukwi's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1587 vs 1588), separated by just 1 points.

Hojat Khajevand enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Hojat Khajevand finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Tafon Nchukwi 57%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.