Horacio Gutierrez vs TJ Brown
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-3-0Record20-12-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
69,0"Reach72"
145 lbsWeight156 lbs
Chicago Fight TeamTeamWestside MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1616
If they lose-16→ 1584
If they win+12→ 1613
If they lose-12→ 1589
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1522 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1606 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Horacio GutierrezTJ Brown
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Horacio Gutierrez70%
TJ Brown 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Horacio Gutierrez a 70% favorite over TJ Brown in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans TJ Brown's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1600 vs 1601), separated by just 1 points.
Horacio Gutierrez enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Horacio Gutierrez finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, TJ Brown 80%.
TJ Brown carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.