Houston Alexander vs Regan Upshaw
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-16-1Record0-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
203 lbsWeight205 lbs
Grudge Training CenterTeamHavoc MMA
What's at stake
Regan Upshaw is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Houston Alexander carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1465
If they lose-11→ 1441
If they win+22→ 1500
If they lose-26→ 1452
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1516 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 1 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Houston AlexanderRegan Upshaw
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Regan Upshaw75%
Houston Alexander 25%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Regan Upshaw a 75% favorite over Houston Alexander in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Regan Upshaw holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1478 to 1452, a 26-point edge.
Houston Alexander enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Houston Alexander finishes 82% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.