Houston Dorr vs Leonardo Guimaraes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
1-2-0Record15-14-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReach73"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
TBDTeamTata Fight Team
What's at stake
Houston Dorr is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Leonardo Guimaraes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1490
If they lose-27→ 1442
If they win+18→ 1450
If they lose-14→ 1418
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1501 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1523 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Houston DorrLeonardo Guimaraes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Houston Dorr64%
Leonardo Guimaraes 36%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Houston Dorr a 64% favorite over Leonardo Guimaraes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Houston Dorr holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1469 to 1432, a 37-point edge.
Houston Dorr enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Leonardo Guimaraes 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.