Combat Edge Intelligence

Hovhannes Voskanyan vs Luke Barnatt

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record15-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'6"
-ReachTBD
172 lbsWeight185 lbs
ErmakTeamTsunami Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Hovhannes VoskanyanNow 1568
If they win+16→ 1584
If they lose-16→ 1552
Luke BarnattNow 1563
If they win+12→ 1575
If they lose-12→ 1551

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1517 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1557 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.43
TBD
Strike accuracy
36%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.87
TBD
Strike defense
59%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.63
TBD
Takedown accuracy
43%
TBD
Takedown defense
64%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.42

Trajectory

Hovhannes VoskanyanLuke Barnatt
15501600165020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (50%)
KO/TKO
9 (60%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (27%)
5 (50%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Hovhannes Voskanyan70%
Luke Barnatt 30%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Hovhannes Voskanyan a 70% favorite over Luke Barnatt in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1568 vs 1563), separated by just 5 points.

Hovhannes Voskanyan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Luke Barnatt enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Hovhannes Voskanyan finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Luke Barnatt 87%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.