Combat Edge Intelligence

Humberto Bandenay vs Jason Knight

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

27-10-0Record23-8-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'10"
71"Reach71,0"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Dogo Training CenterTeamAlan Belcher MMA Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Humberto BandenayNow 1675
If they win+12→ 1687
If they lose-12→ 1663
Jason KnightNow 1676
If they win+12→ 1688
If they lose-12→ 1664

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1510 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1600 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.22
Sig. strikes / min
2.95
42%
Strike accuracy
34%
4.79
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.02
41%
Strike defense
52%
2.90
Takedown avg.
1.31
46%
Takedown accuracy
31%
63%
Takedown defense
47%
0.48
Submission avg.
1.70

Trajectory

Humberto BandenayJason Knight
1650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (37%)
KO/TKO
4 (17%)
11 (41%)
Submission
15 (65%)
6 (22%)
Decision
4 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Humberto Bandenay60%
Jason Knight 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Humberto Bandenay a 60% favorite over Jason Knight in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jason Knight's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1675 vs 1676), separated by just 1 points.

Humberto Bandenay finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Jason Knight 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.