Combat Edge Intelligence

Hussain Al Kurdi vs Justin Edwards

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

3-0-0Record10-7-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
-ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
KHK MMATeamTeam Jorge Gurgel

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Hussain Al KurdiNow 1582
If they win+24→ 1606
If they lose-24→ 1558
Justin EdwardsNow 1577
If they win+16→ 1593
If they lose-16→ 1561

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1533 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1591 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.68
TBD
Strike accuracy
42%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.32
TBD
Strike defense
51%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.14
TBD
Takedown accuracy
27%
TBD
Takedown defense
27%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.97

Trajectory

Hussain Al KurdiJustin Edwards
155016002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (33%)
KO/TKO
1 (10%)
2 (67%)
Submission
8 (80%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (10%)

Combat Edge model read

Hussain Al Kurdi63%
Justin Edwards 37%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Hussain Al Kurdi a 63% favorite over Justin Edwards in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1582 vs 1577), separated by just 5 points.

Hussain Al Kurdi enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Hussain Al Kurdi finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Justin Edwards 90%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.