Combat Edge Intelligence

Hussein Fakher vs Jeremy Stephens

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-4-0Record29-23-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
-Reach71"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Dragon TeamTeamAlliance MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Hussein FakherNow 1562
If they win+15→ 1577
If they lose-17→ 1545
Jeremy StephensNow 1551
If they win+12→ 1563
If they lose-12→ 1539

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1496 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1684 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.15
TBD
Strike accuracy
41%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.14
TBD
Strike defense
59%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.11
TBD
Takedown accuracy
38%
TBD
Takedown defense
62%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.37

Trajectory

Hussein FakherJeremy Stephens
150015502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (14%)
KO/TKO
19 (66%)
4 (57%)
Submission
2 (7%)
2 (29%)
Decision
8 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

Hussein Fakher60%
Jeremy Stephens 40%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Hussein Fakher a 60% favorite over Jeremy Stephens in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1562 vs 1551), separated by just 11 points.

Hussein Fakher enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Jeremy Stephens enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Hussein Fakher finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Jeremy Stephens 72%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.