Hussein Fakher vs Jorge Gurgel
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-4-0Record14-10-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
-ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight154 lbs
Dragon TeamTeamTeam Jorge Gurgel
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1578
If they lose-16→ 1546
If they win+16→ 1580
If they lose-16→ 1548
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1496 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1620 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Hussein FakherJorge Gurgel
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Hussein Fakher53%
Jorge Gurgel 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Hussein Fakher a 53% favorite over Jorge Gurgel in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jorge Gurgel's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1562 vs 1564), separated by just 2 points.
Hussein Fakher enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Jorge Gurgel enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Hussein Fakher finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Jorge Gurgel 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.