Combat Edge Intelligence

Hussein Fakher vs Kaiwen Li

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Kaiwen Li
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Kaiwen Li

“The Underdog”

12-6-0LightweightRUFC

1564Solid

Tale of the tape

7-4-0Record12-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
-ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight150 lbs
Dragon TeamTeamK-1 Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Hussein FakherNow 1562
If they win+16→ 1578
If they lose-16→ 1546
Kaiwen LiNow 1564
If they win+16→ 1580
If they lose-16→ 1548

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1496 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1565 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.32
TBD
Strike accuracy
50%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.74
TBD
Strike defense
54%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.78
TBD
Takedown accuracy
33%
TBD
Takedown defense
92%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Hussein FakherKaiwen Li
150015501600202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (14%)
KO/TKO
7 (58%)
4 (57%)
Submission
1 (8%)
2 (29%)
Decision
4 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Kaiwen Li60%
Hussein Fakher 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kaiwen Li a 60% favorite over Hussein Fakher in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1562 vs 1564), separated by just 2 points.

Hussein Fakher enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Kaiwen Li enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Hussein Fakher finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Kaiwen Li 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.