Combat Edge Intelligence

Ian Murphy vs Ryan Parker

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ryan Parker
us

Ryan Parker

“The Predator”

4-5-0MiddleweightPF

1490Average

Tale of the tape

1-1-0Record4-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height6'3"
42,0"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team Alpha MaleTeamTeam XCWT MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ian MurphyNow 1500
If they win+23→ 1523
If they lose-25→ 1475
Ryan ParkerNow 1490
If they win+16→ 1506
If they lose-16→ 1474

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1486 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1522 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Ian MurphyRyan Parker
1450150020092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (100%)
KO/TKO
2 (50%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (25%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Ryan Parker53%
Ian Murphy 47%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Ryan Parker a 53% favorite over Ian Murphy in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ian Murphy's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1500 vs 1490), separated by just 10 points.

Ryan Parker enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ryan Parker 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.