Combat Edge Intelligence

Ibragim Ibragimov vs Melquizael Costa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-0-0Record26-8-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'10"
66"Reach71"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Manchester Top TeamTeamChute Boxe Joao Emilio

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ibragim IbragimovNow 1685
If they win+24→ 1709
If they lose-24→ 1661
Melquizael CostaNow 1682
If they win+12→ 1694
If they lose-12→ 1670

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1515 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1682 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.38
TBD
Strike accuracy
50%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.97
TBD
Strike defense
55%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2
TBD
Takedown accuracy
41%
TBD
Takedown defense
59%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.09

Trajectory

Ibragim IbragimovMelquizael Costa
155016001650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (43%)
KO/TKO
9 (35%)
3 (43%)
Submission
8 (31%)
1 (14%)
Decision
9 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Ibragim Ibragimov and Melquizael Costa within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1685 vs 1682), separated by just 3 points.

Ibragim Ibragimov enters on a 9-fight win streak.

Ibragim Ibragimov finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Melquizael Costa 65%.

Melquizael Costa carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.