Combat Edge Intelligence

Ibragim Magomedov vs Paul Buentello

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Paul Buentello
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Paul Buentello

“The Headhunter”

35-17-0Light HeavyweightACB

1643Solid

Tale of the tape

22-8-1Record35-17-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'3"
TBDReachTBD
230 lbsWeight205 lbs
Red Devil Sport ClubTeamGrudge Training Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ibragim MagomedovNow 1643
If they win+12→ 1655
If they lose-12→ 1631
Paul BuentelloNow 1643
If they win+12→ 1655
If they lose-12→ 1631

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1552 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1536 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.18
TBD
Strike accuracy
46%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.32
TBD
Strike defense
52%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.36
TBD
Takedown accuracy
50%
TBD
Takedown defense
39%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.72

Trajectory

Ibragim MagomedovPaul Buentello
1650201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

12 (55%)
KO/TKO
25 (71%)
5 (23%)
Submission
6 (17%)
5 (23%)
Decision
4 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Ibragim Magomedov62%
Paul Buentello 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ibragim Magomedov a 62% favorite over Paul Buentello in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1643 vs 1643), separated by just 0 points.

Ibragim Magomedov finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Paul Buentello 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.