Combat Edge Intelligence

Icho Larenas vs Matheus Scheffel

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

6-6-0Record17-11-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'2"
TBDReachTBD
255 lbsWeight262 lbs
TBDTeamCM System

What's at stake

Matheus Scheffel is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Icho Larenas carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Icho LarenasNow 1493
If they win+17→ 1510
If they lose-15→ 1478
Matheus ScheffelNow 1521
If they win+11→ 1532
If they lose-13→ 1508

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1516 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1611 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.17
Sig. strikes / min
1.33
15%
Strike accuracy
36%
2.50
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3
29%
Strike defense
47%
0
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
14%
Takedown defense
100%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Icho LarenasMatheus Scheffel
1500155016002019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

6 (100%)
KO/TKO
12 (71%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
5 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Matheus Scheffel56%
Icho Larenas 44%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Matheus Scheffel a 56% favorite over Icho Larenas in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Matheus Scheffel holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1521 to 1493, a 28-point edge.

Icho Larenas enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Matheus Scheffel enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Icho Larenas finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Matheus Scheffel 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.