Ieuan Mackenzie vs Rafael Rebello
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-3-0Record9-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'5"
-ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Craig Ewers AcademyTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1598
If they lose-24→ 1550
If they win+16→ 1593
If they lose-16→ 1561
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1521 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ieuan MackenzieRafael Rebello
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ieuan Mackenzie63%
Rafael Rebello 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ieuan Mackenzie a 63% favorite over Rafael Rebello in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rafael Rebello's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1574 vs 1577), separated by just 3 points.
Rafael Rebello enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Ieuan Mackenzie finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Rafael Rebello 78%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.