Combat Edge Intelligence

Igor Severino vs Kai Kara-France

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-1-0Record25-12-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'5"
69"Reach69″
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Chute Boxe Joao EmilioTeamCity Kickboxing

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Igor SeverinoNow 1679
If they win+16→ 1695
If they lose-16→ 1663
Kai Kara-FranceNow 1679
If they win+12→ 1691
If they lose-12→ 1667

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1711 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

7.17
Sig. strikes / min
4.56
52%
Strike accuracy
40%
4.33
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.22
48%
Strike defense
65%
9.69
Takedown avg.
0.61
71%
Takedown accuracy
33%
50%
Takedown defense
88%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Igor SeverinoKai Kara-France
165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (50%)
KO/TKO
12 (48%)
4 (40%)
Submission
3 (12%)
1 (10%)
Decision
10 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Igor Severino67%
Kai Kara-France 33%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Igor Severino a 67% favorite over Kai Kara-France in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1679 vs 1679), separated by just 0 points.

Igor Severino enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Igor Severino finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Kai Kara-France 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.