Combat Edge Intelligence

Igor Vovchanchyn vs Jan Błachowicz

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

56-10-0Record29-11-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'8"Height6'2"
TBDReach78"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Team VovchanchynTeamWCA Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Igor VovchanchynNow 1759
If they win+12→ 1771
If they lose-12→ 1747
Jan BłachowiczNow 1748
If they win+12→ 1760
If they lose-12→ 1736

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1579 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1765 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.55
TBD
Strike accuracy
50%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.14
TBD
Strike defense
52%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.98
TBD
Takedown accuracy
31%
TBD
Takedown defense
69%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.36

Trajectory

Igor VovchanchynJan Błachowicz
1750180020032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

41 (73%)
KO/TKO
9 (31%)
7 (13%)
Submission
9 (31%)
8 (14%)
Decision
11 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Jan Błachowicz72%
Igor Vovchanchyn 28%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Jan Błachowicz a 72% favorite over Igor Vovchanchyn in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Igor Vovchanchyn's way (48%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1759 vs 1748), separated by just 11 points.

Igor Vovchanchyn enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Igor Vovchanchyn finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Jan Błachowicz 62%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.