Iliarde Santos vs Jordan Molinari
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
32-16-1Record4-2-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'3"Height5'4"
TBDReach-
135 lbsWeight126 lbs
American Top TeamTeamNext Generation MMA Liverpool
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1570
If they lose-12→ 1546
If they win+24→ 1578
If they lose-24→ 1530
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1520 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Iliarde SantosJordan Molinari
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jordan Molinari71%
Iliarde Santos 29%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Jordan Molinari a 71% favorite over Iliarde Santos in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Iliarde Santos's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1558 vs 1554), separated by just 4 points.
Jordan Molinari enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Iliarde Santos finishes 66% of wins inside the distance, Jordan Molinari 0%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.