Combat Edge Intelligence

Ilya Kotau vs Leandro Camargo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

0-0-0Record7-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height5'7"
69"Reach-
170 lbsWeight161 lbs
Teixeira MMA & FitnessTeamStrikers MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ilya KotauNow 1478
If they win+25→ 1503
If they lose-23→ 1455
Leandro CamargoNow 1489
If they win+15→ 1504
If they lose-17→ 1472

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1502 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Ilya KotauLeandro Camargo
1500155020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
1 (14%)
0 (0%)
Submission
6 (86%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Leandro Camargo70%
Ilya Kotau 30%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Leandro Camargo a 70% favorite over Ilya Kotau in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1478 vs 1489), separated by just 11 points.

Ilya Kotau enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Leandro Camargo enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Leandro Camargo 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.