Impa Kasanganay vs Jake Shields
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-6-0Record33-11-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
75"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight170 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamCesar Gracie Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1743
If they lose-12→ 1719
If they win+12→ 1746
If they lose-12→ 1722
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1649 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1652 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Impa KasanganayJake Shields
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Impa Kasanganay71%
Jake Shields 29%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Impa Kasanganay a 71% favorite over Jake Shields in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jake Shields's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1731 vs 1734), separated by just 3 points.
Impa Kasanganay enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Impa Kasanganay finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Jake Shields 45%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.