Combat Edge Intelligence

Impa Kasanganay vs Sam Patterson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-6-0Record14-3-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'4"
75"Reach78"
205 lbsWeight170 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamTeam Crossface

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Impa KasanganayNow 1731
If they win+12→ 1743
If they lose-12→ 1719
Sam PattersonNow 1729
If they win+16→ 1745
If they lose-16→ 1713

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1649 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1621 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.89
TBD
Strike accuracy
44%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.93
TBD
Strike defense
50%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.39
TBD
Takedown accuracy
100%
TBD
Takedown defense
33%
TBD
Submission avg.
2.78

Trajectory

Impa KasanganaySam Patterson
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (40%)
KO/TKO
6 (43%)
3 (15%)
Submission
7 (50%)
9 (45%)
Decision
1 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Impa Kasanganay and Sam Patterson within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1731 vs 1729), separated by just 2 points.

Impa Kasanganay enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Impa Kasanganay finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Sam Patterson 93%.

Sam Patterson carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.