Combat Edge Intelligence

Isaac Vallie-Flagg vs Magomed Sulumov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-7-1Record12-5-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'8"
TBDReach-
159 lbsWeight155 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamFight Club Akhmat

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Isaac Vallie-FlaggNow 1627
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611
Magomed SulumovNow 1627
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1601 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1557 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.56
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
48%
Strike accuracy
TBD
5.60
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
45%
Strike defense
TBD
0.20
Takedown avg.
TBD
13%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
59%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Isaac Vallie-FlaggMagomed Sulumov
16001650201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (31%)
KO/TKO
3 (25%)
5 (31%)
Submission
2 (17%)
6 (38%)
Decision
7 (58%)

Combat Edge model read

Magomed Sulumov60%
Isaac Vallie-Flagg 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Magomed Sulumov a 60% favorite over Isaac Vallie-Flagg in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Isaac Vallie-Flagg's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1627 vs 1627), separated by just 0 points.

Isaac Vallie-Flagg finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Magomed Sulumov 42%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.