Israel Adesanya vs Krzysztof Jotko
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-6-0Record30-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'1"
80"Reach77"
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
City KickboxingTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1773
If they lose-12→ 1749
If they win+12→ 1781
If they lose-12→ 1757
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1743 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1663 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Israel AdesanyaKrzysztof Jotko
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Krzysztof Jotko81%
Israel Adesanya 19%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Krzysztof Jotko a 81% favorite over Israel Adesanya in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1761 vs 1769), separated by just 8 points.
Israel Adesanya enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Krzysztof Jotko enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Israel Adesanya finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Krzysztof Jotko 33%.
Israel Adesanya and Krzysztof Jotko share 1 common opponent: Sean Strickland.
Israel Adesanya carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.