Combat Edge Intelligence

Israel Delgado vs J.C. Cottrell

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

4-3-0Record17-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
UnknownReach40.00
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Panther Muay ThaiTeamAcademy of Martial Arts

What's at stake

J.C. Cottrell is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Israel Delgado carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Israel DelgadoNow 1463
If they win+25→ 1488
If they lose-23→ 1440
J.C. CottrellNow 1478
If they win+23→ 1501
If they lose-25→ 1453

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1573 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1706 · 2 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0.79
TBD
Strike accuracy
25%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.75
TBD
Strike defense
45%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.79
TBD
Takedown accuracy
100%
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Israel DelgadoJ.C. Cottrell
1450150020172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

2 (50%)
KO/TKO
2 (12%)
0 (0%)
Submission
11 (65%)
2 (50%)
Decision
4 (24%)

Combat Edge model read

J.C. Cottrell68%
Israel Delgado 32%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes J.C. Cottrell a 68% favorite over Israel Delgado in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

J.C. Cottrell holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1478 to 1463, a 15-point edge.

Israel Delgado enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

J.C. Cottrell enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Israel Delgado finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, J.C. Cottrell 76%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.