Israel Delgado vs Johil de Oliveira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-3-0Record17-16-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'8"
UnknownReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Panther Muay ThaiTeamJohil Team
What's at stake
Israel Delgado is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Johil de Oliveira carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1486
If they lose-25→ 1438
If they win+13→ 1457
If they lose-11→ 1433
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1573 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Israel Delgado58%
Johil de Oliveira 42%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Israel Delgado a 58% favorite over Johil de Oliveira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Israel Delgado holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1463 to 1444, a 19-point edge.
Israel Delgado enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Johil de Oliveira enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Israel Delgado finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Johil de Oliveira 65%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.