Combat Edge Intelligence

Israel Delgado vs Leonardo Mafra

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

4-3-0Record15-7-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'9"
UnknownReachTBD
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Panther Muay ThaiTeamKings MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Israel DelgadoNow 1463
If they win+25→ 1488
If they lose-23→ 1440
Leonardo MafraNow 1473
If they win+23→ 1496
If they lose-25→ 1448

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1573 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1613 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.55
TBD
Strike accuracy
48%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.38
TBD
Strike defense
44%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.12
TBD
Takedown accuracy
83%
TBD
Takedown defense
69%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.42

Trajectory

Israel DelgadoLeonardo Mafra
145015002015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

2 (50%)
KO/TKO
9 (60%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (7%)
2 (50%)
Decision
5 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Leonardo Mafra64%
Israel Delgado 36%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Leonardo Mafra a 64% favorite over Israel Delgado in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1463 vs 1473), separated by just 10 points.

Israel Delgado enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Israel Delgado finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Leonardo Mafra 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.