Israel Delgado vs Marcos Rosa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-3-0Record2-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"HeightTBD
UnknownReach45.00
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Panther Muay ThaiTeamTeam Nogueira Porto Alegre
What's at stake
Marcos Rosa is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Israel Delgado carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+26→ 1489
If they lose-22→ 1441
If they win+22→ 1507
If they lose-26→ 1459
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1573 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1633 · 1 fights
Tracked stat edges
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marcos Rosa60%
Israel Delgado 40%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Marcos Rosa a 60% favorite over Israel Delgado in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Marcos Rosa holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1485 to 1463, a 22-point edge.
Israel Delgado enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Israel Delgado finishes 50% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.