Israel Delgado vs Olaf Alfonso
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-3-0Record8-12-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
UnknownReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Panther Muay ThaiTeamTBD
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+25→ 1488
If they lose-23→ 1440
If they win+16→ 1488
If they lose-16→ 1456
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1573 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1571 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Israel Delgado53%
Olaf Alfonso 47%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Israel Delgado a 53% favorite over Olaf Alfonso in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Olaf Alfonso's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1463 vs 1472), separated by just 9 points.
Israel Delgado enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Olaf Alfonso enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Israel Delgado finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Olaf Alfonso 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.