Combat Edge Intelligence

Israel Delgado vs Ousmane Thomas Diagne

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

4-3-0Record6-8-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height6'0"
UnknownReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Panther Muay ThaiTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy

What's at stake

Ousmane Thomas Diagne is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Israel Delgado carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Israel DelgadoNow 1463
If they win+25→ 1488
If they lose-23→ 1440
Ousmane Thomas DiagneNow 1479
If they win+15→ 1494
If they lose-17→ 1462

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1573 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1522 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Israel DelgadoOusmane Thomas Diagne
145015001550201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

2 (50%)
KO/TKO
4 (67%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (50%)
Decision
2 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Ousmane Thomas Diagne56%
Israel Delgado 44%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Ousmane Thomas Diagne a 56% favorite over Israel Delgado in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Ousmane Thomas Diagne holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1479 to 1463, a 16-point edge.

Israel Delgado enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ousmane Thomas Diagne enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Israel Delgado finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Ousmane Thomas Diagne 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.