Combat Edge Intelligence

Istela Nunes vs Jessica Rakoczy

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-6-0Record1-5-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'7"
66"ReachTBD
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Team NunesTeamTBD

What's at stake

Istela Nunes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Jessica Rakoczy carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Istela NunesNow 1501
If they win+13→ 1514
If they lose-19→ 1482
Jessica RakoczyNow 1429
If they win+29→ 1458
If they lose-19→ 1410

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1560 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1517 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.02
Sig. strikes / min
2.50
46%
Strike accuracy
45%
4.84
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.55
60%
Strike defense
65%
0
Takedown avg.
0.75
TBD
Takedown accuracy
20%
50%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0.75

Trajectory

Istela NunesJessica Rakoczy
1450150015502013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (33%)
KO/TKO
1 (100%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (67%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Istela Nunes61%
Jessica Rakoczy 39%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Istela Nunes a 61% favorite over Jessica Rakoczy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Istela Nunes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1501 to 1429, a 72-point edge.

Istela Nunes enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Jessica Rakoczy enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Istela Nunes finishes 33% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.