Istela Nunes vs Jodie Esquibel
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-6-0Record6-7-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'1"
66"Reach64,0"
115 lbsWeight116 lbs
Team NunesTeamJackson-Wink MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1517
If they lose-16→ 1485
If they win+16→ 1511
If they lose-16→ 1479
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1560 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1565 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Istela NunesJodie Esquibel
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jodie Esquibel53%
Istela Nunes 47%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Jodie Esquibel a 53% favorite over Istela Nunes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Istela Nunes's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1501 vs 1495), separated by just 6 points.
Istela Nunes enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Jodie Esquibel enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Istela Nunes finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Jodie Esquibel 17%.
Istela Nunes carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.