Istela Nunes vs Kailin Curran
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-6-0Record6-7-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'4"
66"Reach37,0"
115 lbsWeight113 lbs
Team NunesTeamRVCA
What's at stake
Istela Nunes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Kailin Curran carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1516
If they lose-17→ 1484
If they win+17→ 1488
If they lose-15→ 1456
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1560 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Istela NunesKailin Curran
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kailin Curran52%
Istela Nunes 48%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Kailin Curran a 52% favorite over Istela Nunes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Istela Nunes's way (46%).
Istela Nunes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1501 to 1471, a 30-point edge.
Istela Nunes enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Kailin Curran enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Istela Nunes finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Kailin Curran 17%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.