Combat Edge Intelligence

Istela Nunes vs Maia Stevenson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-6-0Record6-5-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'4"
66"Reach35.00
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Team NunesTeamJoe Stevenson's Cobra Kai

What's at stake

Istela Nunes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Maia Stevenson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Istela NunesNow 1501
If they win+15→ 1516
If they lose-17→ 1484
Maia StevensonNow 1484
If they win+25→ 1509
If they lose-23→ 1461

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1560 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1622 · 1 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.02
Sig. strikes / min
1.57
46%
Strike accuracy
55%
4.84
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.13
60%
Strike defense
33%
0
Takedown avg.
3.91
TBD
Takedown accuracy
100%
50%
Takedown defense
50%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Istela NunesMaia Stevenson
150015502019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (33%)
KO/TKO
3 (50%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (33%)
4 (67%)
Decision
1 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Maia Stevenson54%
Istela Nunes 46%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Maia Stevenson a 54% favorite over Istela Nunes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Istela Nunes's way (48%).

Istela Nunes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1501 to 1484, a 17-point edge.

Istela Nunes enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Istela Nunes finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Maia Stevenson 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.