Combat Edge Intelligence

Istela Nunes vs Polyana Viana

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-6-0Record13-9-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'7"
66"Reach67"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Team NunesTeamChute Boxe Diego Lima

What's at stake

Polyana Viana is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Istela Nunes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Istela NunesNow 1501
If they win+18→ 1519
If they lose-14→ 1487
Polyana VianaNow 1541
If they win+14→ 1555
If they lose-18→ 1523

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1560 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1600 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.02
Sig. strikes / min
2.74
46%
Strike accuracy
40%
4.84
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.50
60%
Strike defense
53%
0
Takedown avg.
0.75
TBD
Takedown accuracy
33%
50%
Takedown defense
35%
0
Submission avg.
1.69

Trajectory

Istela NunesPolyana Viana
1500155016002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (33%)
KO/TKO
5 (38%)
0 (0%)
Submission
8 (62%)
4 (67%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Polyana Viana67%
Istela Nunes 33%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Polyana Viana a 67% favorite over Istela Nunes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Polyana Viana holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1541 to 1501, a 40-point edge.

Istela Nunes enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Polyana Viana enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Istela Nunes finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Polyana Viana 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.