Combat Edge Intelligence

Ivan Menjivar vs Morgan Charrière

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ivan Menjivar
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Ivan Menjivar

“Pride of El Salvador”

25-12-0BantamweightUFC

1646Solid

Tale of the tape

25-12-0Record21-12-1
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'8"
TBDReach69"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Tristar GymTeamTeam Chapa Quente

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ivan MenjivarNow 1646
If they win+12→ 1658
If they lose-12→ 1634
Morgan CharrièreNow 1644
If they win+12→ 1656
If they lose-12→ 1632

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1640 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1599 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.78
Sig. strikes / min
4.08
38%
Strike accuracy
50%
2.76
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.54
66%
Strike defense
54%
0.56
Takedown avg.
2.11
29%
Takedown accuracy
47%
39%
Takedown defense
83%
0.98
Submission avg.
0.30

Trajectory

Ivan MenjivarMorgan Charrière
16001650170020122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

9 (36%)
KO/TKO
13 (62%)
10 (40%)
Submission
3 (14%)
6 (24%)
Decision
5 (24%)

Combat Edge model read

Morgan Charrière70%
Ivan Menjivar 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Morgan Charrière a 70% favorite over Ivan Menjivar in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ivan Menjivar's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1646 vs 1644), separated by just 2 points.

Ivan Menjivar enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Ivan Menjivar finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Morgan Charrière 76%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.