Ivan Menjivar vs Shin Haraguchi
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-12-0Record8-1-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'6"
TBDReachTBD
135 lbsWeight146 lbs
Tristar GymTeamBrave
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1658
If they lose-12→ 1634
If they win+16→ 1662
If they lose-16→ 1630
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1640 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1589 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ivan MenjivarShin Haraguchi
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Shin Haraguchi70%
Ivan Menjivar 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Shin Haraguchi a 70% favorite over Ivan Menjivar in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ivan Menjivar's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1646 vs 1646), separated by just 0 points.
Ivan Menjivar enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ivan Menjivar finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Shin Haraguchi 63%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.