Combat Edge Intelligence

Ivan Serati vs Ruslan Gabaraev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

12-4-0Record7-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'1"
TBDReach-
225 lbsWeight205 lbs
Sure Grip Vale TudoTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ivan SeratiNow 1570
If they win+16→ 1586
If they lose-16→ 1554
Ruslan GabaraevNow 1572
If they win+16→ 1588
If they lose-16→ 1556

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1520 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.48
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
27%
Strike accuracy
TBD
15.25
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
30%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Ivan SeratiRuslan Gabaraev
1550160016502008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (67%)
KO/TKO
2 (29%)
3 (25%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (8%)
Decision
5 (71%)

Combat Edge model read

Ruslan Gabaraev52%
Ivan Serati 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ruslan Gabaraev a 52% favorite over Ivan Serati in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1570 vs 1572), separated by just 2 points.

Ivan Serati finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Ruslan Gabaraev 29%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.