Ivan Shtyrkov vs Mirko Filipović
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-2-1Record38-11-2
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'2"
TBDReach73"
237 lbsWeight234 lbs
Archangel Michael ClubTeamCro Cop Top Team
What's at stake
Mirko Filipović is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Ivan Shtyrkov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1805
If they lose-11→ 1781
If they win+11→ 1820
If they lose-13→ 1796
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1541 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1633 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ivan ShtyrkovMirko Filipović
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ivan Shtyrkov60%
Mirko Filipović 40%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Ivan Shtyrkov a 60% favorite over Mirko Filipović in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mirko Filipović's way (48%).
Mirko Filipović holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1809 to 1792, a 17-point edge.
Ivan Shtyrkov enters on a 7-fight win streak.
Mirko Filipović enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Ivan Shtyrkov finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Mirko Filipović 89%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.